Go Ahead and Celebrate the Massive Failure of Trumpcare

There’s been some finger-wagging that liberals shouldn’t be cheering the Republicans’ huge defeat on Trumpcare.

As everyone knows, House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) didn’t actually put the bill up to a vote because it was doomed by defections from moderate Republicans and Freedom Caucus members alike. And President Trump didn’t know the bill well enough to whip votes, Politico Magazine embarrassingly reports.

Yes, there are many other fights ahead on the debt ceiling, tax policy, Russian interference in our election, etc. And I don’t think Trump and Ryan are giving up the ghost of killing Obamacare, no matter what they say.

So if Democrats want to take the opportunity to craft some fixes for the Affordable Care Act, I think that’s great.

But for the time being, it’s OK to celebrate that a bad policy died. Because that means:

  • 24 million people get to keep their health insurance.
  • People won’t see massive insurance rate increases.
  • People with pre-existing conditions won’t be priced out of care.
  • Essential health benefits, like prenatal and post-natal care, are still protected.
  • Seniors won’t be targeted for rate increases.
  • The more than 650,000 people who gained insurance through the Medicaid expansion in Michigan are safe.
  • Small business owners and the self-employed can get better rates on policies through competition afforded by the health care exchange.

And there’s a whole lot more. So go ahead and revel in the fact that Republicans failed to do what they’ve promised for seven long years. Go ahead and celebrate that people’s lives will be better without Trumpcare. After all, there haven’t been a lot of reasons to smile since November 8.

Wake Up and Smell the Freedom Not to Have Health Coverage

The U.S. House Republicans' super-secret Obamacare replacement is out and it's all about freedom.

Yes, if you're one of the 20 million Americans who gained health insurance through the Affordable Care Act, you may soon enjoy the freedom of no longer being covered. We don't know how many people will be covered, but even Republicans acknowledge that it will be a lower number than the ACA.

As President Donald Trump finally noticed last month, health policy is kinda complicated. So it will be awhile before we know all the details of the GOP plan. But one key element to reducing coverage is that they'd end the federal funding in 2020 for states who expand Medicaid. Currently, 31 states, including Michigan, have expanded Medicaid to cover 10 million people.

That could definitely put Michigan's program in jeopardy. Gov. Rick Snyder had to fight tooth and nail with his fellow Republicans in the Legislature just to get the expansion in the first place. The Legislature has only gotten more conservative since then and Snyder is term-limited next year. It's easy to imagine a Gov. Bill Schuette, who fought Obamacare all the way up to the U.S. Supreme Court, joining together with GOP lawmakers to scrap Michigan's Medicaid expansion.

There are 640,000 Michiganders who now have health coverage due to the expansion — more than 6 percent of the state's population. Yanking away health insurance from them would be unnecessarily cruel. And it's not even smart economic policy. The expansion will have a $432 million impact this year, according to a University of Michigan study commissioned by the New York-based Commonwealth Fund. And that's created 30,000 jobs. Given the fact that Trump goes around irresponsibly taking credit for companies keeping a couple hundred jobs in the United States, you'd think that losing 30,000 jobs in just Michigan alone might give him pause.

There are many other ways that people could lose their health insurance under the GOP plan. Insurance subsidies for low-income people would be replaced with age-based subsidies, which would likely reduce benefits and the number of people who are insured. The New York Times reports that people with preexisting conditions "would face new uncertainties in a more deregulated insurance market." And the plan cuts off funding to Planned Parenthood.

But at least people who didn't want to buy health insurance will escape paying that freedom-sucking penalty, right? Well, yes ... but if you let your insurance coverage lap because you've changed jobs, didn't want to pay for it, etc., the GOP plan allows insurance companies to sock you with a 30 percent premium increase. That's probably going to be a much bigger hit to your wallet.

The Republican concept of freedom always seems to come with a lot of not-so fine print.

If there's one thing Americans love, it's when politicians meddle and make things worse. And they really love having things taken away from them. So this new GOP plan should really go over well.

The First Amendment is under attack in Michigan

Susan J. Demas

Susan J. Demas

We all know President-Elect Donald Trump is not a big fan of the First Amendment. During the campaign, the Republican complained it has "too much protection" for free speech. He's routinely targeted journalists at rallies and on Twitter as an intimidation tactic.

After winning the election, Trump's first tweet took aim at people protesting against him, which he whined was "unfair." A few weeks later, he went even further, tweeting the threat that those who exercise their 1A right to burn the American flag could be jailed or stripped of their citizenship.

But while Trump dominates news coverage by unloading outrageous tweets and unveiling cabinet picks with reality show-style flair, the Michigan Legislature has fired a shot against the First Amendment.

Those of us in the Mitten State are used to Republicans who control state government ramming through unpopular right-wing legislation during the lame duck session. Unions are a frequent scapegoat, as we saw with the 2012 Right to Work law

This time around, the House has narrowly passed bills that would jack up fines on unions for "illegal" picketers (from $1,000 to $10,000 a day) and make it easier to hire replacement workers (i.e. scabs).

Using labor for political target practice is bad enough. At a time when Michigan's median income still clocks in $5,000 below what it was in 2007, it's amazing that lawmakers keep going after unions trying to win and protect fair wages. But the bills will also likely silence peaceful protests. My read of the legislation (as well as that of several lawyers) is that it's written so broadly that it could run afoul of the First Amendment.

Now that may not deter the Republican-controlled Legislature from sending this package to Gov. Rick Snyder's desk. And the governor, who's a lawyer, has a history of signing bills that experts warned were unconstitutional.

But it would really be something for a significant First Amendment challenge to originate in Michigan. And it's likely a sign of things to come in the Trump era.

Michigan Republicans want to crack down on voting rights, but where's the evidence of fraud?

Let's just dispense with the euphemisms. Republicans are poised to ram through bills that will make it harder to vote in Michigan

Here's where we are. Michigan already had a voter ID law, but this new legislation toughens up the process. Currently, if you don't have your ID when you vote, you sign an affidavit and cast a provisional ballot. Your vote is counted in the tally.

But this proposed law would set aside your vote. And it requires you to go back to your local clerk's office and produce your ID within 10 days –– or your vote doesn't count at all.

Laws are traditionally proposed in response to a problem. In this case, you would expect that problem to be a rash of voter fraud cases in Michigan. After all, the bills were introduced after the Nov. 8 election, just in time for the frenzied Lame Duck session in the run-up to the holidays (when voters conveniently aren't paying attention).

You would be wrong.  

I have yet to see any documented cases of voter fraud in Michigan in the 2016 election. The Washington Post has only found four cases in the entire country. To put this in perspective, 135 million ballots were cast in this election.

That's why Republican former Senate Majority Leader Ken Sikkema and I both agreed in a Michigan Radio interview on Friday that these voter ID bills aren't necessary.

“There’s very little documentation of voter fraud in Michigan,” Sikkema said. “Some legislator ... or some party activist dreamed this up and said, well, Michigan ought to do this, other states do it, but in my opinion, they’re not necessary.”

Surprise! Rick Snyder makes nice with Donald Trump

A few weeks ago, I wrote a column entreating Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder to stand up to Donald Trump, given his status as a businessman-turned-Rust Belt governor who preaches the virtues of civility.

While Democrats and liberal activists can be expected to do the heavy lifting when it comes to opposing the authoritarian elements of Trump's presidency, it's vital to have as many conservative and Republican voices as possible join in. For starters, this supersedes ideology. And historically, bipartisan movements are taken more seriously by the public and the media.

Here's part of my argument:

You may not have liked what President Hillary Clinton may have wrought in terms of taxes and regulation, but I believe you stay up at night wondering what President Trump will do with the nuclear codes.
Warning signs abound. The president-elect’s chief White House adviser is Steve Bannon, who runs the white nationalist website, Breitbart.com (which is primed to become some sort of state-run media a la Pravda). Trump refuses to set up a blind trust for his far-reaching business interests, instead saying he’ll turn them over to his children (who may have access to state secrets). And he’s playing footsie with Vladimir Putin on the national stage already.
None of these are partisan issues. These are all red flags about how our republic will function.

I got some pushback from readers for my alleged naiveté, mostly coming from those unfamiliar with my frequent criticism of Snyder over the Flint water crisis, Right to Work, child poverty, LGBT rights and much more. And no, I didn't believe my column would have any impact, as I indicated in the column itself:

Of course, I’m not the right person to ask this of you. It should be the Detroit News’ Nolan Finley or better yet, a Republican colleague. I’ve been one of your fiercest critics over Right to Work and the Flint Water crisis. I’m probably about as popular in your inner circle as I was with that of your predecessor, Jennifer Granholm.

And even if you were to vocally oppose Trump, I wouldn’t stop holding your feet to the fire over your policies in Michigan. Neither will my colleagues. It doesn’t work that way. So this is all probably sounding like a terrific proposition for you.

I doubt the governor reads me or cares what I think. But it was worth a shot. And sometimes it's important to put things on the record.

So last week, Snyder did exactly what you'd expect, declaring that he looks "forward to building a relationship" with Trump. That's quite the change from his October take, when he called Trump's "grab 'em by the pussy" remarks "revolting and disgusting." Time heals all wounds, I guess. 

The governor even went so far as to defend Trump in a tweet Monday against the Green Party's attempt to get a recount in Michigan. 

So Rick Snyder is who he's always been: A Republican who feigns moderation, but has repeatedly proven to be unwilling or unable to stand up to the extremist elements of his party.

I'm not surprised. I just remain very, very disappointed. 

Susan J. Demas is Publisher and Editor of Inside Michigan Politics, a nationally acclaimed, biweekly political newsletter. Her political columns can be found at SusanJDemas.com. Follow her on Twitter here.

When Post-Election Bullying Hits Home

For the last week, I've been trying to process the election, both as a political analyst who got a lot wrong, and a human being who believes this was a potentially disastrous outcome. Donald Trump's move to install the owner of a white nationalist website as one of his chief advisers does not assuage the dread.

But much of my time has been consumed by something closer to home. My 14-year-old daughter, Angela, has made news of her own. Two days after the election, she brought a homemade sign to Okemos High School that said, "We Will Fight for America." She crossed out the words, "We Failed America," which is something she had heard a lot and doesn't believe is true. As a member of the school Political Club and Prism (LGBTQ students), she's no stranger to speaking her mind.

However, when Angela walked through the halls with the sign, a group of older boys surrounded her and started screaming, "Lock her up!" One got up on a bench and loomed over her. Like all of us, Angela had heard that phrase before in watching Donald Trump rallies. And while I found it unacceptable for Trump supporters to scream that about Democratic presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton, I was especially saddened to see teenagers take that cue to bully another student.

The school district has handled this and other incidents swiftly and with sensitivity. This is just one of dozens of school incidents in the news. Not all schools have responded like Okemos administrators did. The video of kids harassing Latino students in the Royal Oak school cafeteria with "Build a wall!" is particularly hard to watch. 

My daughter made the call that our family could post about her incident on social media. Since then, several reporters have interviewed me. You may have seen some stories. I am a journalist by trade. I much prefer being on the other side where I'm asking questions. But the reason why we've talked publicly about this incident is simple. Angela will be OK. She's strong. She isn't going to back down from her beliefs. She has support. But a lot of kids are scared to speak up. She's heard from several of them since she was shouted down in the halls. So if Angela speaking up helps other kids, it's worth it.

It's been an odd experience. Angela and I have had to deal with anonymous trolls (although as a columnist, that's nothing new for me). Some of my conservative friends have been visibly uncomfortable, which breaks my heart. It sometimes seems like the divide is so vast it can't be breached, even when children are involved. And some people who don't even know us have tried to exploit the incident for their own pet cause or agenda.

I've accepted all of that and so has my daughter. That's just the way the world works in the age of social media. What keeps us going is the lovely letters and messages from those who have been bullied. They appreciate Angela taking a stand. As a parent, I couldn't be prouder of her.

Susan J. Demas is Publisher and Editor of Inside Michigan Politics, a nationally acclaimed, biweekly political newsletter. Her political columns can be found at SusanJDemas.com. Follow her on Twitter here.

Susan J. Demas: So What Do We Do Now?

Susan J. Demas, 2016

Susan J. Demas, 2016

I am not the optimist in my family. That role is filled by my husband, Joe. All of us are devastated right now, but his mantra has always been, "Time to get back to work." We're both doing this, though without many smiles. When he starts singing Christmas carols around the house, I know it will be OK.

We've been hugging our kids a lot. Our 13-year-old said yesterday morning, "I've lost all faith in humanity. Are women going to lose their rights?" He then tried to comfort Joe and cracked jokes. Our 14-year-old is busy organizing against harassment of LGBT and minority students at her school. They are good eggs. They fight for others while we fight for their future. 

I am not a maudlin hippie. But here is how I truly feel right now. Be kind to one another. Try to bring some light into the world. Stop punching down. Stop trying to prove you're the smartest person in the room. And definitely stop tearing each other down to fight through your own pain. I have been guilty of all of these things too many times.

It accomplishes nothing right now. It's self-defeating. It emboldens those who seek to do us harm. We all just need to take a breath and feel. And if anyone wants to mock me for saying this, so be it. I'll have been called worse.

This is the fight of our lives. As conservative David Frum said, democracy itself is likely on the line. Take care of yourself. Take care of your family. Take care of one another.

Some Sanders supporters are running for the Michigan House, but it's a slow start

A few weeks ago, I wrote a column asking where Bernie Sanders' revolution was in Michigan. Given his stunning win in the March 8 primary, I would have expected that Sanders supporters would be fueling grassroots efforts in the state and running for office themselves.

However, I wrote that I hadn't seen much evidence of either. Since then, a few readers wrote in about some candidates organizing and running at the local level, which is crucial.

Today, the Detroit News had a story on six Sanders supporters running for the state House. That's the good news for those trying to push the Democratic Party in a more liberal direction.

Here's the bad news. There are literally hundreds of Democrats running for the Legislature this cycle –– all 110 House seats are up. And the News could only identify a half-dozen diehard Sanders supporters. 

It gets worse. Of the six candidates, only two look well-positioned to even win the primary. One is Eric Anderson, who's running unopposed in the Dem race for 87th District, which has a 62-percent Republican base, according to Inside Michigan Politics. To make matters worse, he's running in the general against Julie Calley, wife of Lt. Gov. Brian Calley.

The second is Betsy Coffia, who has the advantage of having previously run in the 104th District. Even if she again becomes the Democratic nominee, she's still facing an incumbent, Rep. Larry Inman (R-Traverse City) in a northern Michigan district with a 59 percent GOP base, where Donald Trump is polling well.

Sanders did as well as he did in the primary because of enthusiastic grassroots organizing. How many times have progressives gasped in horror at what the GOP-controlled Legislature has done in terms of education policy, LGBT rights, abortion rights, labor law and the social safety net? I still believe that's fertile ground for self-declared "Berniecrats" to truly make their mark with grassroots efforts.

Susan J. Demas is Publisher and Editor of Inside Michigan Politics, a nationally acclaimed, biweekly political newsletter. Her political columns can be found at SusanJDemas.com. Follow her on Twitter here.

Hoekstra & Demas Announce 'Two Chicks Speakers’ Bureau'

Communications Experts Offer Corporations, Organizations and Lobbying Firms their Unique Perspectives on Politics, Policy and PR in Michigan

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Thursday, May 12, 2016

Contact: Kathy Hoekstra, 989.284.2095, Kathy@kathyhoekstra.com

               Susan J. Demas, 517.420.6779, susan@sjdemas.com
 

The next time you need a speaker for a corporate event, organizational meeting or association training, don’t go with the same old, same old.

Think Kathy Hoekstra and Susan J. Demas.

You’ve probably seen us both on Off the Record. We’re the blonde chicks with lots of opinions. We also have a combined 30 years in journalism, are experts in political analysis and strategy, understand social media and crisis management, and run our own communications firms.

We’ve been doing speaking events for years at corporate retreats and association conferences. Now we’ve decided to team up.

Why? Well, we got the idea when we did a presentation together at the MSU Michigan Political Leadership Program kickoff in February. And it hit us that even though we’ve both done plenty of public speaking, it’s pretty rare that we’ve been paired up with another woman.

Most importantly, we had a blast. No one fell asleep, even though we were on during the dreaded post-lunch time slot. 


"At the Michigan Political Leadership Program, with humor and wit, we found Susan Demas and Kathy Hoekstra hit the mark on providing astute and informative commentary."

–– MPLP Co-Director Anne Mervenne, former senior aide to Gov. John Engler


Both of us bring different perspectives –– Kathy from the right and Susan from the left –– and we play off each other well. It helps that we’re friends in real life and know how to crack each other up. We’re both moms of teenagers and daughters of accountants who shaped our worldviews –– although, somewhat ironically, Kathy’s was a diehard Democrat and Susan’s is a staunch Republican.

And we know how to disagree without being disagreeable, something that’s become all too rare nowadays.

Interested in having us speak at your event? Contact us for a quote today!

Here’s a little more about us:
 

Kathy Hoekstra spent 15 years in local radio and television news in the Port Huron and Flint/Saginaw/Bay City markets, respectively. She went from traditional broadcast to video production and investigative reporting for the Mackinac Center for Public Policy, followed by a stint as media relations director for former presidential front-runner and businessman Herman Cain. She now is the Michigan State Director for Job Creators Network, an employer to employee education program. She also is a contributor for the Detroit News Politics Blog and occasional guest host for the Frank Beckmann show on WJR Radio in Detroit.

Susan J. Demas is CEO of Susan J. Demas Communications, specializing in editing, ghostwriting, public speaking and research. Since 2013, Susan has been Editor and Publisher of Inside Michigan Politics, a biweekly newsletter analyzing political and policy trends for several thousand readers. Susan is the most-quoted pundit in Michigan, recently appearing in or on MSNBC, National Public Radio, The New York Times, The Washington Post and Politico. Susan has spent 15 years in journalism and is a syndicated political columnist, appearing in The Huffington Post, Salon, Dome Magazine, Deadline Detroit and Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire.

###

Susan J. Demas: Flint water crisis means Rick Snyder can't sell Michigan's 'comeback' to national media

Now that Super Tuesday is over, all eyes are on Michigan. Both parties have scheduled debates here in the runnup to our March 8 primary.

This would be the perfect time for GOP Gov. Rick Snyder to grab some headlines about the "Michigan comeback," his favorite topic.

And there's no doubt that the economy is on the upswing since he took office in 2011 –– unemployment is down and the business climate has improved (although it's always debatable how much credit governors should get, for good or for ill).

Last year, amid breathless speculation that Snyder was running for president, he made a series of out-of-state trips to tell "the Michigan story."

Our primary week provides a unique window of opportunity for him to sell our state, as national and international media swarm the Mitten.

But Snyder probably won't be talking much about Michigan's comeback this week, which could attract investment and boost our national reputation. He probably won't be highlighting our vaunted "Pure Michigan" tourism campaign. 

And don't expect Snyder to hit the campaign trail, either, in sharp contrast to other Michigan politicians, like U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) and state Senate Majority Leader Arlan Meekhof (R-West Olive), who will bask in the limelight. But neither Snyder nor Lt. Gov. Brian Calley, who hopes to succeed his boss in 2018, have endorsed a candidate for president.

That's because the devastating Flint water crisis is dominating everything. Every day brings a new and horrifying story, whether it's about Flint women miscarrying or a resident using bottled water who still tested positive for lead. There may be a few "Flint truthers" out there who still deny the crisis, but they've been quiet lately.

Snyder has been badly wounded by the crisis. Reams of emails reveal that his high-ranking staff, including his legal counsel and chief of staff, were well aware of health problems early on, but their concerns were ignored. Snyder has maintained that he didn't know the severity of the Flint crisis until October 2015. If that's true, he appears to be just about the last one in his executive office to know. The other possibility, of course, is that he was told and failed to act.

The end result is the same: This is a tragedy for the people of Flint. 

And while Michigan Republicans stew about Democrats Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders swooping in and "politicizing" the crisis, they know that Snyder –– the leader of their party –– is a huge liability right now.

That's a problem from the GOP. But it's a much bigger problem for all citizens of Michigan, who have lost their leader and biggest champion.

Susan J. Demas is Publisher and Editor of Inside Michigan Politics, a nationally acclaimed, biweekly political newsletter. Her political columns can be found at SusanJDemas.com. Follow her on Twitter here.